I've been doing this for 6 years now and asked for nothing in return. This year, I would like to share with you my fundraising efforts for Cancer Council Victoria. If you appreciate these weekly posts, please consider donating to my cause, sharing to raise awareness, or starting the conversation about health, wellbeing, and knowing your body with your family and friends. Any donation, big or small, will help immensely.Please follow this link: https://my-own-way-2016.everydayhero.com/au/william-huggett
A good top two and an amazing Roughie last week. Make sure that you read on to help you get through that first final! For those new to the forums, each week I will tell you some statistics on a player's last 3 games, their last 3 against this week's opponent, and their last 3 at this ground. I will also do a quick overview on my thoughts and have a guess at their score for this week. From all this, I'll give you my top 5 captain choices for the week. If I have the time (and they're relevant), I'll get to any requests you have too!
The facts & thoughts: D. MartinLast 3: 112, 103, 161 (125 avg)
Last 3 against Collingwood: 114, 126, 109 (116 avg)
Last 3 at MCG: 103, 161, 127 (130 avg)
If you score 112 in an 88 point loss, you're a good pick fantasy player. Dusty has that going for him, plus a great record against the Pies and at the G. Pies didn't give up a whole lot last week but Dusty will be good. Prediction - 120
PendleburyLast 3: 148, 99, 101 (116 avg)
Last 3 against Richmond: 98, 94, 77 (90 avg)
Last 3 at MCG: 148, 124, 83 (118 avg)
Really, really want to consider him after last week's resurgence but he's just not great against the Tigers. Add to it that GWS players didn't really score highly for an 88 point victory and it might be worth looking elsewhere. Prediction - 110
SidebottomLast 3: 109, 96, 110 (105 avg)
Last 3 against Richmond: 131, 95, 106 (111 avg)
Last 3 at MCG: 109, 64, 84 (86 avg)
Sidebottom is pretty consistent at the moment and his nice form against the Tigers helps his cause. Prediction - 115
AdamsLast 3: 140, 103, 123 (122 avg)
Last 3 against Richmond: 101, 102, 67 (90 avg)
Last 3 at MCG: 140, 74, 87 (100 avg)
Kudos to anyone that held him through all of his injury problems. Adams is killing it right now and comes up against the Tigers, a team he has relatively good form against. Prediction - 120
TreloarLast 3: 113, 93, 121 (109 avg)
Last 3 against Richmond: 97, 92, 103 (97 avg)
Last 3 at MCG: 113, 75, 127 (105 avg)
Also in decent form but Treloar hasn't been quite good enough against the Tigers to consider. Prediction - 105
J.P. KennedyLast 3: 156, 109, 131 (132 avg)
Last 3 against Port: 151, 120, 110 (127 avg)
Last 3 at SCG: 109, 131, 106 (115 avg)
My favourite thing about the race for the Top 4/Top 2 is that good players can't afford to coast. Every percentage point matters. That's how JPK got 156 last week and why he'll destroy the Power this week, a team he usually smashes anyway. Prediction - 140
HanneberyLast 3: 145, 90, 78 (104 avg)
Last 3 against Port: 146, 87, 55 (96 avg)
Last 3 at SCG: 90, 78, 127 (98 avg)
Welcome back, Hanners! A huge 145 last week could be matched this week, based on his 146 against the Power in their last matchup. However, it's way too risky based on his recent form slump. Prediction - 120
ParkerLast 3: 118, 116, 111 (115 avg)
Last 3 against Port: 112, 86, 106 (101 avg)
Last 3 at SCG: 116, 111, 158 (128 avg)
This whole Sydney team just loves smashing the Power (particularly in Sydney) and Parker is not different. Expect another good week from him. Prediction - 120
T. MitchellLast 3: 105, 61, 109 (92 avg)
Last 3 against Port: 105, 81 (93 avg)
Last 3 at SCG: 61, 109, 62 (77 avg)
I don't like that Tom Mitchell keeps tagging people and I'm not going to make him captain until he stops. Could tag again this week so too risky. Prediction - 100
GrayLast 3: 93, 99, 122 (105 avg)
Last 3 against Sydney: 112, 97, 121 (110 avg)
Last 3 at SCG: 112, 95, 28 (78 avg)
Pretty good against the Swans but I'm slightly afraid of a tag. Regardless, recent form says no. Prediction - 105
GawnLast 3: 106, 120, 102 (109 avg)
Last 3 against Hawthorn: 85, 111 (98 avg)
Last 3 at MCG: 106, 100, 146 (117 avg)
Gawn's numbers all look pretty good but he wasn't great last time he played the Hawks. He'll be alright but there are plenty better this week. Prediction - 105
LewisLast 3: 101, 113, 106 (107 avg)
Last 3 against Melbourne: 106, 144, 111 (120 avg)
Last 3 at MCG: 113, 106, 73 (97 avg)
Lewis continues to score tons every week and he loves playing the Dees. He hasn't been a huge scorer much this weekend but he's at least a safe choice. Prediction - 120
WardLast 3: 90, 87, 118 (98 avg)
Last 3 against Gold Coast: 91, 138, 122 (117 avg)
Last 3 at Metricon: 138, 116, 86 (113 avg)
Ward will bounce back this week. He's great against the Suns, particularly up north. Prediction - 120
ConiglioLast 3: 107, 106, 127 (113 avg)
Last 3 against Gold Coast: 101, 96, 103 (100 avg)
Last 3 at Metricon: 96, 97, 101 (98 avg)
Pretty consistent against the Suns but nothing special. Probably gets a small boost from the Suns having no players left. Prediction - 110
ShawLast 3: 125, 110, 72 (102 avg)
Last 3 against Gold Coast: 132, 125, 74 (110 avg)
Last 3 at Metricon: 125, 99, 66 (97 avg)
I like to pretend it didn't happen but the Giants flogged the Tigers last week and Shaw scored 125 in the process. Gold Coast are worse (actually, probably not, but you get what I'm saying) than the Tigers and Shaw has a very good record against them. Strongly consider. Prediction - 135
BoydLast 3: 91, 105, 104 (100 avg)
Last 3 against North: 118, 110, 84 (104 avg)
Last 3 at Etihad: 91, 104, 98 (98 avg)
Boyd will surely play this week and I'd expect a ton on his return. Nowhere near worth risking though. Prediction - 105
SloaneLast 3: 128, 76, 106 (103 avg)
Last 3 against Brisbane: 117, 68, 160 (115 avg)
Last 3 at AO: 128, 106, 139 (124 avg)
I think this is that awesome run home people were talking about. How can you have Essendon at home followed by Brisbane at home? For Sloane owners worried about him taking it easy, the Crows need a percentage boost to make the Top 4 so it's not gonna happen. Prediction - 135
RockliffLast 3: 76, 179, 128 (128 avg)
Last 3 against Adelaide: 140, 180, 77 (132 avg)
Last 3 at AO: 33, 140, 133 (102 avg)
I am very much hoping that Rocky and Sloane go head-to-head like the last time they played. Even if they don't, Rocky LOVES playing the Crows and will be huge. Prediction - 140
ZorkoLast 3: 85, 102, 131 (106 avg)
Last 3 against Adelaide: 121, 97, 78 (99 avg)
Last 3 at AO: 110, 121, 80 (104 avg)
Zorko was great last time these teams met and I think most of the key Lions players will bounce back from last week (in a fantasy sense... I have no faith in them being competitive). Prediction - 120
S. MartinLast 3: 130, 111, 100 (114 avg)
Last 3 against Adelaide: 151, 136, 123 (137 avg)
Last 3 at AO: 129, 151, 81 (120 avg)
Stef Martin absolutely adores playing the Crows. 137 average in his last three against them, great in Adelaide, in awesome form, and coming off a rest. What? There's more? Sam Jacobs is injured and Martin won't even have a real opponent this week? I don't know how much faith you have in a ruck as your captain but you gotta strongly consider it. Prediction - 140
GibbsLast 3: 106, 131, 100 (112 avg)
Last 3 against St Kilda: 75, 81, 67 (74 avg)
Last 3 at MCG: 100, 104, 104 (103 avg)
No good at all against the Saints and I don't think his form closes the gap enough. Prediction - 90
StevenLast 3: 73, 145, 97 (105 avg)
Last 3 against Carlton: 132, 92, 62 (95 avg)
Last 3 at MCG: 133, 87, 138 (119 avg)
Steven always sucks against the Roos and yet I was still shocked by last week. I just don't learn... He'll bounce back this week against the Blues but there are so many better options. Prediction - 120
DangerfieldLast 3: 135, 118, 130 (128 avg)
Last 3 against Essendon: 86, 118, 79 (94 avg)
Last 3 at Etihad: 95, 143, 187 (142 avg)
If you've made it this far and read every option, you'll see I've already predicted 5 massive ones. My choice this week might come down to the weather forecast. Do you know where weather doesn't matter though? Etihad. Danger has had some huge scores under the roof this year and very easily falls under the "best mid playing Essendon" rule that has seen scores of 128, 179, 161, 158 over the last four weeks. But you have to be worried about that 86 from earlier this year... right? Lol no. The Cats want percentage and Danger will have 35 possies and a couple of goals. Prediction - 135
SelwoodLast 3: 91, 106, 128 (108 avg)
Last 3 against Essendon: 97, 118, 133 (116 avg)
Last 3 at Etihad: 113, 102, 132 (116 avg)
Last week was an odd one but I expect him to bounce back against the Bombers. Prediction - 125
MerrettLast 3: 101, 130, 152 (128 avg)
Last 3 against Geelong: 127, 106, 21 (85 avg)
Last 3 at Etihad: 130, 126, 105 (120 avg)
This kid is having one hell of a season. He scored 127 on the Cats earlier this year and I'd expect similar this week. Prediction - 125
NealeLast 3: 131, 124, 72 (109 avg)
Last 3 against West Coast: 79, 78, 162 (106 avg)
Last 3 at Subi: 131, 72, 128 (110 avg)
Lachie Neale has been disappointing in recent Derby's and I'm not sure what to do about him this week. Form says yes but history is shakey. Doesn't matter anyway with so many better choices. Prediction - 115
PriddisLast 3: 102, 138, 91 (110 avg)
Last 3 against Fremantle: 110, 70, 92 (91 avg)
Last 3 at Subi: 138, 105, 103 (115 avg)
Priddis will be helped by the fact that Fremantle suck. Prediction - 110
GaffLast 3: 117, 76, 100 (98 avg)
Last 3 against Fremantle: 111, 69, 101 (94 avg)
Last 3 at Subi: 76, 98, 131 (102 avg)
So will Gaff. Prediction - 115
LAHUG'S ROUGHIE OF THE WEEK!Managed to outdo my 130 from two weeks ago with a 156 last week. Looks like my Roughies are the best options going around! In this segment, I'll talk about someone that, partly because of stats and mostly because of gut feeling, I think will go huge this week. It'll usually be somebody that you wouldn't usually give the C to but, if you have him and are feeling brave, might be worth a look.HunterLast 3: 85, 101, 110 (99 avg)
Last 3 against North: 133, 124, 62 (106 avg)
Last 3 at Etihad: 101, 90, 91 (94 avg)
With no team mates left uninjured in the midfield, Hunter needs to step up. If he does, which my gut says he will, I expect an improvement on his last two great games against North. Of course, I could be wrong... that's why it's called a Roughie. Gutsy prediction - 140
LAHUG'S POTATO FORECAST!I'll count Ward's 90 as yet another correct call because, to be completely fair, only scoring 90 when you win by 88 points is far from premium level. Basically, I'll highlight a premium that is probably in plenty of teams but is both down on form and has some terrible history against this week's opponent. Get ready for a shocker of a score!HodgeLast 3: 74, 49, 77 (67 avg)
Last 3 against Melbourne: 89, 53, 108 (83 avg)
Last 3 at MCG: 49, 91, 71 (70 avg)
A few weeks ago, a lot of people brought Hodge in for Ablett, anticipating his DPP. They nailed the DPP part but weren't quite right about Hodge giving premium scores. He's out of form and sucks against the Dees. Spudiction - 65
The verdict:
1. S. Martin (140)

1. Rockliff (140)
2. J.P. Kennedy (140)
3. Dangerfield (135)
4. Sloane (135)
5. Shaw (135)Requests:
I've been doing this for 6 years now and asked for nothing in return. This year, I would like to share with you my fundraising efforts for Cancer Council Victoria. If you appreciate these weekly posts, please consider donating to my cause, sharing to raise awareness, or starting the conversation about health, wellbeing, and knowing your body with your family and friends. Any donation, big or small, will help immensely.Please follow this link: https://my-own-way-2016.everydayhero.com/au/william-huggett