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Author Topic: LS 2018 Discussions  (Read 1463 times)
frenzy
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« Reply #15 on: January 19, 2018, 05:12:39 PM »

The problem with Goldy is Preuss who will get game time and neither can play forward like Cox. A very big risk imo

Dean or Mason?
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LordSneeze
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« Reply #16 on: January 22, 2018, 05:36:16 PM »

First of all I love the expensive place holders. When actual teams come out with the rookies that are named you could potentially bring in another premium.

Defence all have solid picks so I can't fault them. I also would choose Simpson over Witherden.

It has already been said that having no danger is a risk but with the 5 mid premiums that you have chosen I wouldn't be toooooo worried. All could be top 10 come seasons end. If you can get Danger in however, I would.

Although I am starting Nic Nat I can see why you are not however I don't think Goldy is the answer. I would prefer Jacobs who is a similar price from memory. Think of all the hitouts to advantage with the likes of Gibbs, Sloane and Crouch x2 at his feet. If i can find the extra money I will be putting Jacobs in over Nic Nat. North are rebuilding and my dad who is there biggest (and probably only supporter ;)) thinks that Preuss will take over the number one ruck role come seasons end, whether that is true or not I don't know.

Forwards are all good options. Barlow is a tricky one as he is 50k cheaper than most options and is most likely to go 110 out of all forwards however his bye and the fact that he could still be used as a half forward have put me off him for now.

Overall it is a great start mate. Well done :)

Yeah Expensive rookies are the way to go in a starter team, if you start the rookies you think might play and then they don't you have to change your entire stucture. With this format you get to upgrade if it happens.

Yes I am definitely on Simpson over Witherden. Will watch the preseason for his role.

No Danger is a risk, but if you play your money correctly on a PP$ then you can offset it in the short term, cover the lesser cash generation through getting him at a discount. With his price this year it is the only year I have felt that the gain you can get not selecting him outweighs the benefit. Still might follow the crowd by season start.

Im totally off Nic Nat, there is no way that I will be picking him this year. That might backfire, but I just don't see the benefit in picking a player who could breakdown at any point, be rested at any point, might not score well, limited TOG etc. Unless it appears that Pruess is going to be the number 1 ruck I will be going with Goldy. Im not going to give up all the reasons why, but I have more than enough to lock him in right now. FYI Jacobs has been crossed off my list as I cannot see how he improves his scoring.

The Barlow Bye is tricky, that might depend on my confidence in the rookies and where he is playing in preseason. I expect him to be a big POD.
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LordSneeze
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« Reply #17 on: January 22, 2018, 05:40:53 PM »

Consider Kruezer for NN - same bye, no other obvious ruck (Lobbe no chance), solid season in 2017 and little injury; also gets the outlet kick a la Martin

Way too overpriced IMO. Last year he increased his career best hitout average by 20% and 33% on the year prior. Chances of him maintaining that is low. He also had 10 scores under 90.
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LordSneeze
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« Reply #18 on: January 22, 2018, 05:42:35 PM »

Nice side first up LS. Simpson/WitherGOAT is a tough one, I've locked WitherGOAT into my side from the outset but Simpson has gone 90+ the last decade so is clearly a good option.

Rucks have to be Gawn/Naitanui really.

Fwds are solid, shot in the dark this year really.

Re: Danger/No Danger, personally I can see reasons for and against. Would only not pick him if I could find a better way to use the extra $150k odd, which would be tough.
I don't think you have to start NicNat. There is quite a bit of risk associated with him, and obviously huge upside as well. But if he goes down, or is managed throughout the season, guys like Goldy, Kreuz, Stef, Grundy, Sauce etc could easily be better starting picks.
Totally agree with you on this.   Goldy can definitely be a great POD with ability to top 2500 points for the year and give you a great boost over the field.   To me it is Goldy, Jacobs or NicNat at R2.   Why a playing R3 would be a godsend.   Nice team LS that prompts thought from others on why they have started Danger.   Though I feel Toby will outscore Luke this year at the Dogs.
Goldy is locked for me barring something unforeseen. I agree this is the first year that Danger does not seem like a lock as he is soo expensive in comparison to what else you can get for value.
I agree on Dahl & Toby, Dahl was just a placeholder at this point.
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LordSneeze
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« Reply #19 on: January 22, 2018, 05:49:58 PM »

I've done the 'no danger' in the past with previous best players (ie Gaz), regretted it every time. They do drop at times, like Danger did this year around Rd 8. But you need a lot of shower to go your way. He had two games under 100, and a 120, so he dropped off 150k, and it happened at just the right time to trade him in (Rd 8).

You get a player doing this out of the gates and you have to trade up, means trading out a premo still and getting rid of a rookie that probably still has growing to do.

There are safer ways to chase a bargain than gambling on guns.
Exactly. Would much rather gamble on someone like Goldy than I would by not starting Danger.
Fair points, though Goldy has Preuss and Daw pushing for selection also. Naitanui has Lycett, but I don't see them competing for R1.

I don't agree, I believe gambling on Cripps, Bont, Coniglio is more of a risk than gambling on not starting Danger. The key to getting it right is using the cash correctly and still getting those top 10 players for there position. By not starting Danger the midprice risks become premiums
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frenzy
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« Reply #20 on: February 12, 2018, 06:06:12 PM »

yep, you just need a couple of $117k rookies named rnd 1 ( like all of us ) and convert a few of your expensive fellas to them for cash to upgrade to Danger.
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Bully
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« Reply #21 on: February 12, 2018, 06:38:16 PM »

Nice side first up LS. Simpson/WitherGOAT is a tough one, I've locked WitherGOAT into my side from the outset but Simpson has gone 90+ the last decade so is clearly a good option.

Rucks have to be Gawn/Naitanui really.

Fwds are solid, shot in the dark this year really.

Re: Danger/No Danger, personally I can see reasons for and against. Would only not pick him if I could find a better way to use the extra $150k odd, which would be tough.
I don't think you have to start NicNat. There is quite a bit of risk associated with him, and obviously huge upside as well. But if he goes down, or is managed throughout the season, guys like Goldy, Kreuz, Stef, Grundy, Sauce etc could easily be better starting picks.
Totally agree with you on this.   Goldy can definitely be a great POD with ability to top 2500 points for the year and give you a great boost over the field.   To me it is Goldy, Jacobs or NicNat at R2.   Why a playing R3 would be a godsend.   Nice team LS that prompts thought from others on why they have started Danger.   Though I feel Toby will outscore Luke this year at the Dogs.
Goldy is locked for me barring something unforeseen. I agree this is the first year that Danger does not seem like a lock as he is soo expensive in comparison to what else you can get for value.
I agree on Dahl & Toby, Dahl was just a placeholder at this point.

I'm intrigued by the Goldy talk, I want to pick him and I almost certainly would if Preuss was out of the equation. having gone over the stats there''s a couple of injury games & a 32 which saw him play forward for the entire match. Take those out and he's averaging 100. Just for a comparison with Sauce & Grundy.

100's
Goldy - 9/19
Sauce - 10/22
Grundy - 9/20

If we adopt the trend is your friend principle one has to go with Sauce & Grundy who both finished the season off really well. But the question remains, will North revert back to Goldy as sole ruck. Cannot forget he went from 93 avg in 2012 to a 113 avg the year after. Still only 29 which is on par with Sauce.




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