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Author Topic: Brownlow 2019  (Read 4874 times)
fanTCfool
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« Reply #30 on: August 19, 2019, 08:50:50 PM »

Nothing for Fyfe this weekend, Dusty adds another 3 and takes a 1 vote lead in my count.

I forgot that Dusty is ineligble, so Fyfe technically holds the lead in front of Tim Kelly.
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Rusty00
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« Reply #31 on: August 20, 2019, 08:31:14 AM »

Nothing for Fyfe this weekend, Dusty adds another 3 and takes a 1 vote lead in my count.

I forgot that Dusty is ineligble, so Fyfe technically holds the lead in front of Tim Kelly.
How far behind do you have Neale?
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fanTCfool
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« Reply #32 on: August 20, 2019, 09:06:34 AM »

Nothing for Fyfe this weekend, Dusty adds another 3 and takes a 1 vote lead in my count.

I forgot that Dusty is ineligble, so Fyfe technically holds the lead in front of Tim Kelly.
How far behind do you have Neale?

I have Neale tied with Tim Kelly on 22, 1 vote behind Fyfe. The polling for both Neale and Kelly has completely dried up.
For what it's worth, the 'consensus' leaderboard on the site I am using has Fyfe 25.60 and Neale 21.80. Danger in the middle there with 24.20.
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jvalles69
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« Reply #33 on: August 26, 2019, 01:09:33 PM »

My final count has Fyfe, Danger and Neale all locked on 30 votes.  :o  How can I cash out any of those lol!

Bont is my pick this season to not poll as well as everybody thinks.
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RaisyDaisy
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« Reply #34 on: August 26, 2019, 01:44:22 PM »

Don't think I will be betting on the winner this year - too many guys who are a real chance and it's too close to pick

That said, if i had to pick a winner I think Danger probably gets up

Will wait for more markets to open to try and find some real value
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jvalles69
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« Reply #35 on: August 26, 2019, 03:30:48 PM »

Winners and contested possessions.

2018 Mitchell 2nd in CP's
2017 Dusty 2nd in CP's
2016 Danger 2nd in CP's
2015 Fyfe 3rd in CP's
2014 Priddis 3rd in CP's
2013 Ablett 3rd in CP's
2012 Mitchell/Cotchin 7th/19th (Jobe was 4th)
2011 Swan 6th in CP's
2010 Judd 5th in CP's

Seems to be no CP numbers prior to 2010, Ablett won in 2009. Seems like it's more of a factor since 2013.

2019
1. Oliver 359
2. Neale 355
3. Fyfe 351
9. Danger 302
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Grazz
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« Reply #36 on: August 26, 2019, 04:56:26 PM »

Interesting thread.
Im kinda with RD, it's a bit to open for me.
Maybe a little flutter I don't know.
« Last Edit: August 26, 2019, 04:58:03 PM by Grazz » Logged
jvalles69
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« Reply #37 on: August 27, 2019, 10:10:50 AM »

All I can say is your count is the only one I've seen that is the most different to mine, I've seen a few which are quite similar to mine with maybe 1 or 2 differences in team count leader, there are 10 differences between ours.  :o
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fanTCfool
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« Reply #38 on: August 27, 2019, 11:12:15 AM »

Show us your count!  ;)
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jvalles69
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« Reply #39 on: August 27, 2019, 11:21:45 AM »

Show us your count!  ;)

At work so I can't give you an accurate count, not trying to be secretive lol, just no access! :P
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EA100
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« Reply #40 on: August 27, 2019, 11:33:23 AM »

I've got
Danger - 27
Fyfe - 25
Grundy - 25
Neale - 23
Merrett - 22
Bontempelli - 22
Kelly - 22
Martin - 22
Treloar - 21
Macrae - 20
Cripps - 19

But i still need to go over a fair few games.. Would be interesting to see how some of you guys have polled particular games that i had a hard time doing.
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jvalles69
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« Reply #41 on: August 27, 2019, 12:51:52 PM »

Would be interesting to see how some of you guys have polled particular games that i had a hard time doing.

This is where the money is, betting on the 3 vote getters, I "bold" the players who I think lock in 3 votes 99% and bet if they are paying over $1.50.  Then I have sneaky bets on markets that don't match my 3 votes, can some times get odds on guys to poll 3 votes up to $15 which is the biggest I've hit on, quite a few around the $5-$9 mark.
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EA100
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« Reply #42 on: August 27, 2019, 01:13:30 PM »

Would be interesting to see how some of you guys have polled particular games that i had a hard time doing.

This is where the money is, betting on the 3 vote getters, I "bold" the players who I think lock in 3 votes 99% and bet if they are paying over $1.50.  Then I have sneaky bets on markets that don't match my 3 votes, can some times get odds on guys to poll 3 votes up to $15 which is the biggest I've hit on, quite a few around the $5-$9 mark.

Last year was my first time actually doing it for the sake of trying to find some value in the markets, and from memory I think there was some decent value in the one for playing to poll a vote.
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jvalles69
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« Reply #43 on: August 27, 2019, 01:33:34 PM »

Would be interesting to see how some of you guys have polled particular games that i had a hard time doing.

This is where the money is, betting on the 3 vote getters, I "bold" the players who I think lock in 3 votes 99% and bet if they are paying over $1.50.  Then I have sneaky bets on markets that don't match my 3 votes, can some times get odds on guys to poll 3 votes up to $15 which is the biggest I've hit on, quite a few around the $5-$9 mark.

Last year was my first time actually doing it for the sake of trying to find some value in the markets, and from memory I think there was some decent value in the one for playing to poll a vote.

I didn't look to hard at that market, I just remember finding so much value the single games market 2 years ago so focused on that.  Handicap is usually ok too.
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jvalles69
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« Reply #44 on: August 27, 2019, 08:35:24 PM »

As requested

Adelaide
Brad Crouch 17
Matt Crouch 16
Sloane 14

Brisbane
Lachie Neale 30
Dayne Zorko 23
Jarryd Lyons 12

Carlton
Patrick Cripps 20
Marc Murphy 8
Ed Curnow 7

Collingwood
Adam Treloar 23
Brodie Grundy 22
Scott Pendlebury 13

Essendon
Zach Merrett 23
Dylan Shiel 7
Dyson Heppell 7

Fremantle
Nat Fyfe 30
Michael Walters 16
David Mundy 9

Gold Coast
Touk Miller 7
David Swallow 6
Fiorini 5

Geelong
Patrick Dangerfield 30
Tim Kelly 23
Duncan 16

GWS
Stephen Coniglio 17
Taranto 15
Kelly 14

Hawthorn
James Worpel 10
Henderson/O'Meara 9
James Sicily 8

Melbourne
Max Gawn 17
Clayton Oliver 16
Tom McDonald 5

North Melbourne
Ziebell 15
Higgins 14
Brown 10

Port
Travis Boak 19
Rockliff 13
R. Gray 8

Richmond
Dustin Martin 23
Dion Prestia 16
Houli 6

St. Kilda
Ross 12
Billings 9
Steele/Gresham 6

Sydney
Josh P. Kennedy 18
Parker 13
Lloyd/Heeney 9

Western Bulldogs
Macrae 25
Bont 21
Dunkley 19

West Coast
Yeo 22
Shuey 17
Gaff 16
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