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Author Topic: CAPTAIN Form  (Read 4549 times)
dmac07
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« on: August 31, 2011, 12:52:53 PM »

Just going through a few of the captain choices and coming up with recent form, form the ground, and against this weeks opponent for my own benefit but thought it might help out a few others.. Will add more over the next day or two.

*Hawks players have last 5 average, and this years average against bottom 4 sides. As none of the hawks players have much history against GC or playing at the ground.

Swan

Last 5: 176, 136, 156, 132, 126,
Ave - 145.2
Last 5 @ MCG: 102, 132, 107, 176, 136
Ave - 129.8
Last 5 vs Geel: 79, 106, 131, 141, 98
Ave - 111

Pros:
- Been in brilliant recent form, ever since reutrning from arizona
- Loves the big ground at the mcg, suiting his hard running style that his opponents just can't keep up with.

Cons:
- Could be in for a tough/close game this week.
- His history against Geelong (111) isn't as good as against most other clubs over the past few years.

Pendlebury:

Last 5: 160, 133, 102, 108, 154
Ave - 131.4
Last 5 @ MCG: 119, 160, 145, 160, 108
Ave - 138.4
Last 5 vs Geel: 95, 96, 110, 120, 109
Ave - 106

Pros:
- Highest scoring SC player in the afl this year, has dipped below 100 just once (94).
- Has a recent histroy of playing blinders in big games

Cons:
- Likely to get the tag by Ling
- 2 out last 3 scores under 110

Judd

Last 5: 197, 88, 163, 125, 69
Ave - 128.4
Last 5 @ MCG: 155, 180, 122, 197, 163
Ave - 163.4
Last 5 vs St.K: 31, 71, 120, 101, 106
Ave - 85.8

Pros:
- Brilliant recent record at the MCG.
- Rested after a week off.

Cons:
- Well beaten in last game by lewis.
- Poor record against the saints.

Goodes

Last 5: 107, 139, 88, 113, 109
Ave - 111.2
Last 5 @ SCG: 124, 94, 53, 107, 167
Ave - 109
Last 5 vs Bris: 64, 156, 62, 100, 149
Ave - 106.2

Pros:
- Playing in an important, but what should be an easy match this week, so expect 100% from the guy.
- More midfield time in recent weeks looks promising for his scoring.

Cons:
- Prone to throw in a few more scores in the 50-90 region than other options.
- Record over last 5 weeks reasonable, but up to 20points per game behind some of the others here.

Ablett

Last 5: 126, 135, 134, 145, 125
Ave - 133.6
Last 5 @ Metricon:* 139, 121, 126, 138, 142
Ave - 133.2
Last 5 vs Haw: 162, 139, 128, 79, 144
Ave - 130.4

Pros:
- He's Ablett

Cons:
- He plays for GC

* Removed from last 5 games at metricon was game against sydney where he was subbed. Taking it out provided a truer reflection of his scores.

Boyd

Last 5: 100, 120, 105, 161, 100
Ave - 117.2
Last 5 @ ES: 70, 116, 87, 120, 105
Ave - 99.6
Last 5 vs Freo: 90, 158, 70, 93, 162
Ave 114.6

Pros:
- Had his most consistant and highest scoring year to date.
- Playing an injury depleted freo

Cons:
- Recent form has contained more lower, than higher 100's
- Lacks the overall class and finishing skills of other top playera.

Mumford:

Last 5: 148, 91, 123, 165, 170
Ave - 139.4
Last 5 @ SCG: 159, 90, 71, 118, 148
Ave - 117.2
Last 4 vs Bris*: 37, 71, 61, 71
Ave - 59.2

Pros:
- Huge scores in recent weeks.
- Thrives in the sydney gamestyle, important game for sydney this week.

Cons:
- Can you trust him? Doesnt have the years of bigscoring experinece many of the other options do.
- Coming up against an in form Luenberger this week.

*Has only played 4 games vs Brisbane in his career to date.

Goddard

Last 5: 138, 100, 81, 122, 135
Ave - 115.2
Last 5 @ MCG: 119, 102, 78, 82, 84
Ave - 93
Last 5 vs Carl: 76, 64, 129, 117, 86
Ave - 94.4

Pros:
-Started to turn his form around recently
-Important game to try and get home final, so could/should stand up

Cons:
- Poor record against blues
- Team likely to lose

Hodge

Last 5: 109, 117, 66, 92, 119
Ave - 100.6
This year vs bottom 4: 91, 115, 163, 66
Ave - 108.7

Pros:
- Capable of getting that big score!
- Playing GC

Cons:
- Recent form has been up and down
- May be rested late when hawks are crusing

Mitchell

Last 5: 111, 117, 137, 155, 81
Ave - 120.2
This year vs bottom 4: 122, 108, 144, 129, 155
Ave - 131.6

Pros:
- Had his best year supercoach wise
- Has a good record against bottom teams this year

Cons:
- Is he fully fit?
- Another cantidate to be rested late

Franklin

Last 5: 63, 96, 162, 103, 118
Ave - 108.4
This year vs bottom 4: 72, 114, 89, 132, 162
Ave - 114.2

Pros:
- Could boot 10 odd goals.
- Capable of some of the highest scores in the game

Cons:
- Inconsistent
- May have Bock follow him closely

Dean Cox

Last 5: 213, 78, 124, 107, 49
Ave - 114.2
Last 5 @ PS: 105, 101, 149, 78, 107
Ave - 108
Last 5 vs Ade: 134, 146, 83, 101, 114
Ave 115.6

Pros:
- One of the best big men in the comp, if you take out his subbed game last week his 5 game average is 134.2!
- Been a consistently high scorer all year, including a very nice 213!

Cons:
- Coming up against a very improved Sam Jacbos in the ruck.
- Little for the eagles to play for this weekend.

Priddis

Last 5: 154, 107, 115, 104, 119
Ave - 119.8
Last 5 @ PS: 106, 104, 99, 107, 104
Ave - 104
Last 5 vs Ade: 93, 143, 64, 64, 96
Ave - 92

Pros:
- Ultra consistant and one of the best contested ball winners in the comp.
- Rarely dipped under 100 this year

Cons:
- Lots of 100s, but few big 140s + this year
- Little for the eagles to play for, may be rested late.
« Last Edit: September 01, 2011, 04:40:44 PM by dmac07 » Logged
charliesheen
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« Reply #1 on: August 31, 2011, 01:04:09 PM »

Great post!  I think Boyd probably deserves a mention too, phenomenal record at ES in both 2010 and 2011, and how can we continually ignore GAJ~

Personally I'm going to avoid the big name games.

Whats interesting is the amount of mid field time both Goodes and Goddard are spending now.  Both have something on the line, and will need to play out of their skins.  I feel with the other captain choices, they probably have a bit less on the line.

Also we already have existing data for both Goodes and Boyd as they have already played their opponents in earlier rounds

Goodes vs BL: 144 round 11, 2011
Boyd vs Freo: 162 round 5, 2011
« Last Edit: August 31, 2011, 01:06:32 PM by charliesheen » Logged
Torress
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« Reply #2 on: August 31, 2011, 03:06:54 PM »


Whats interesting is the amount of mid field time both Goodes and Goddard are spending now. 

charliesheen i hadn't even considered GOD, looks good atm and does perfrom in crunch games. i guess teams are apparently ''rusty'' after a bye so could saints and GOD benefit after carlton's week off??? GOD could be everywhere this week , down back rebounding/in the guts/ third man up in ruck/CHF???  would be ballsy against blues to pick him


oh and dmac07 thats a sweet write up mate!
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penskifile
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« Reply #3 on: August 31, 2011, 03:17:58 PM »

Top Post, thanks man
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HevvieEvvie
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Pop till you Drop

« Reply #4 on: August 31, 2011, 03:47:37 PM »

Can you add in Hodge v GC?
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meow meow
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« Reply #5 on: August 31, 2011, 05:06:31 PM »

Drummond:

Last 5: 81, 45, 97, 79, 104   
Ave - 81.2
Only 2 @ SCG: 41, 78
Ave - 59.5
Last 4 vs Syd: 60, 164, 41, 78
Ave - 85.8

Pros:
- Best kick in the league. That's right, better than Goddard
- Durable, never misses many games.
- Endorsed my meow meow

Cons:
- None
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Samm79
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« Reply #6 on: August 31, 2011, 05:26:45 PM »

awesome post Dmac!

I am finding it hard to go past Mummy, he is dominating and since coming back from injury has averaged a massive 129.7. Taking out his two recent awesome weeks and even then he is averaging 114.6.

He is in form, playing a week opponent and stacks up better than my other options in Boyd, Rockliff, Swan Goddard, Ablett or Judd..

Priddis may be an option but if the Eagles are smashing Adelaide he may wear the orange vest...
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charliesheen
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« Reply #7 on: August 31, 2011, 05:32:15 PM »

awesome post Dmac!

I am finding it hard to go past Mummy, he is dominating and since coming back from injury has averaged a massive 129.7. Taking out his two recent awesome weeks and even then he is averaging 114.6.

He is in form, playing a week opponent and stacks up better than my other options in Boyd, Rockliff, Swan Goddard, Ablett or Judd..

Priddis may be an option but if the Eagles are smashing Adelaide he may wear the orange vest...

mummy captain would be very ballsy!
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meow meow
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« Reply #8 on: August 31, 2011, 05:37:29 PM »

Plus Josh is going to claim a majority of the points in that game.
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Capper
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CAPPERRRRRRRRRRRRRRR!!

« Reply #9 on: August 31, 2011, 06:30:08 PM »

Nice post

Would have to go with Boyd as Freo are struggling to get a team together
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bluedreamin
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hmmm....

« Reply #10 on: August 31, 2011, 06:45:16 PM »

Murphy

Last 5: 131, 138, 110, 118, 112,
Ave - 121.8
Last 5 @ Etihad: 139, 93, 103, 138, 112
Ave - 116.8
Last 5 vs Saints: 142, 45, 105, 75, 90
Ave - 91.4

Pros:
- Been in brilliant form all year - gone to the next level
- Good unique

Cons:
- Saints are his worst team
- If Dempster goes to Judd, Jones will go Murph
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dmac07
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« Reply #11 on: August 31, 2011, 07:16:48 PM »

Added Goddard and hawks trio of mitchell, hodge, franklin. Cheers blue dreamin, murphy could be a good unique for those who have him!
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charliesheen
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« Reply #12 on: August 31, 2011, 07:32:29 PM »

jeez looking at the year juddy has a pretty big std dev this year compared to murphy.

you would think he would go huge after he was cleaned up by sewell and co.

my concern is that saints generally give away their points to loose defenders (there are 10 defenders with scores over 120 against them...)
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dmac07
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« Reply #13 on: August 31, 2011, 08:36:34 PM »

jeez looking at the year juddy has a pretty big std dev this year compared to murphy.

you would think he would go huge after he was cleaned up by sewell and co.

my concern is that saints generally give away their points to loose defenders (there are 10 defenders with scores over 120 against them...)

Dempster and Jones to try and shut down on judd and murphy. Could leave plenty of space behind the ball for Scotland, Yarran, Simpson.

Scotland would be a brave Captain pick, but not the worst idea! Don't have him myself though.
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oldshepp
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« Reply #14 on: August 31, 2011, 08:45:29 PM »

Priddis?
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