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Author Topic: Guide to DT Prices 2013  (Read 7331 times)
DT-SC
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« Reply #45 on: September 06, 2012, 04:16:42 PM »

Mock Team I just chucked together:

Bryce Gibbs, Danny Stanley, Grant Birchall, Nathan Bock, Brent Staker, Ben Johnson
Dane Swan, Trent Cotchin, Scott Pendlebury, Marc Murphy/Jack Redden
Sam Jacobs, Matthew Leuenberger   
Buddy Franklin, Dustin Martin, Nathan Fyfe, Mark Lecras, Travis Varcoe, Chris Knights

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Justin Bieber
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« Reply #46 on: September 06, 2012, 05:35:58 PM »

That guy who made the thread has a worse ratio :P But too insignificant for anyone to know who is.
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Zombie2.5
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« Reply #47 on: September 06, 2012, 11:35:06 PM »

Very nice calculations done their DT Gun.

Interesting to see the prices so early, but they look about right!
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Ricochet
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2014 AF Elxam Champ; Dublin are pie

« Reply #48 on: September 07, 2012, 12:07:20 AM »

What will Varcoe be at after only playing one game for a score of 9 this year? Surely he'll be massively underpriced
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DT Gun
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« Reply #49 on: September 07, 2012, 12:16:55 AM »

What will Varcoe be at after only playing one game for a score of 9 this year? Surely he'll be massively underpriced

Ya cant price someone like Varcoe who has an average of 9 for the year..
Ill use porplyzias price from this year as an example..

Porplyzias starting price was about 200k if i remember correctly.
So to test this i used porps 68.4 average from 2011 x the magic number of this year and it gave me = 338,306
Obviously it isnt 50% so i tried giving him a 40% discount and it gave me a price of = 202,984


So Varcoe should be priced at his 2011 average of 65 with a 40% discount, thats what they did with porplyzia anyway

So 65 x Magic Number with a 40% discount = 192,894


If someone can tell me Porplyzias starting price from this year that would be handy to check how close i am
« Last Edit: September 07, 2012, 12:27:47 AM by DT Gun » Logged
Ricochet
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2014 AF Elxam Champ; Dublin are pie

« Reply #50 on: September 07, 2012, 12:24:37 AM »

What will Varcoe be at after only playing one game for a score of 9 this year? Surely he'll be massively underpriced

I dont think you can price someone like Varcoe who has an average of 9 for the year..

I think varcoe will be priced at his 2011 average of 65 with a 50% discount

So i think he may be priced at roughly 160,745 which is fair game i think
especially with a full preseason and if he can build on his 2010 form
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Ziplock
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« Reply #51 on: September 07, 2012, 12:26:08 AM »

yeah, it'll be a porplyzia scenario where he should be rookie priced, but they'll push his price up because that's be ridiculous :P
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DT Gun
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« Reply #52 on: September 07, 2012, 12:28:15 AM »

sorry i edited the earlier post while you 2 commented, remembered porplyzia just after i replied
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Ricochet
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2014 AF Elxam Champ; Dublin are pie

« Reply #53 on: September 07, 2012, 12:33:59 AM »

ok cool, could definitely get a look in at that price

Porps
http://dreamteam.afl.com.au/player/30
 started at $202,500
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DT Gun
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« Reply #54 on: September 07, 2012, 12:39:03 AM »

Yeh so my calculations were pretty accurate

I had Porplyzia at 202,984 when he was 202,500 so

If i had Varcoe at 192,894 I would pencil him in at 192,500.

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Ricochet
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2014 AF Elxam Champ; Dublin are pie

« Reply #55 on: September 07, 2012, 12:41:46 AM »

and i would lock him into my team i think
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Ricochet
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2014 AF Elxam Champ; Dublin are pie

« Reply #56 on: September 07, 2012, 12:47:06 AM »

Then there is Robbie Gray... 2 games this year and averaged 82 last year
and even Winderlich
« Last Edit: September 07, 2012, 12:54:17 AM by Ricochet » Logged
DT Gun
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« Reply #57 on: September 07, 2012, 12:59:02 AM »

and then there is Robbie Gray... 2 games this year and averaged 82 last year

Koby Stevens played 2 games last year (guessed he played 2 games first crack how good am i haha)

He was priced at 104k in 2012

He averaged
61.8 in 2010
36 from 2 games in 2011

He wasnt priced on his 2010 average of 61.8. With the max discount he would have been 150k ish so it looks like he was priced at 36 with a discount which brought him too low so they put him at a rookie price.

So i think Gray would be priced at his 67 average of this year with a 40% discount

So i think he will be = 198,829

And going on previous calculations = 198,500 haha

« Last Edit: September 07, 2012, 01:00:44 AM by DT Gun » Logged
Holz
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« Reply #58 on: September 07, 2012, 04:25:31 AM »

and then there is Robbie Gray... 2 games this year and averaged 82 last year

Koby Stevens played 2 games last year (guessed he played 2 games first crack how good am i haha)

He was priced at 104k in 2012

He averaged
61.8 in 2010
36 from 2 games in 2011

He wasnt priced on his 2010 average of 61.8. With the max discount he would have been 150k ish so it looks like he was priced at 36 with a discount which brought him too low so they put him at a rookie price.

So i think Gray would be priced at his 67 average of this year with a 40% discount

So i think he will be = 198,829

And going on previous calculations = 198,500 haha

your other calcs seem spot on, i cant see VS letting gray go this cheap. Im sure they will do pull something to make him 300k . I would still pay that.
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m0nty
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« Reply #59 on: September 07, 2012, 12:20:00 PM »

These prices are all wrong. Apart from anything else, the salary cap changes next year so the magic number changes too.
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