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Author Topic: Bets  (Read 202095 times)
elephants
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« Reply #4260 on: January 24, 2019, 06:38:54 PM »

Idk who Shawn Long is in the NBL (Breakers C) but I love him. Backed overs on him and he's come through for me 5 times in a row!

You're pretty lucky then, because prior to those 5 games he hadn't figured out how not to foul in the NBL.

Cashed out my big Harden bet, $1500 was too good to refuse with half a season to go.  Left the smaller bet which will pay $650 if he wins MVP.

Hahaha he does love opening up with 2 PFs in the first quarter but his PPM is massive!

Yeah smart move man, injuries can hit whenever and flower me Houston looked shower today haha

Look out for Long this week, NZ prob can't make finals now so not sure how the team will run the rotations.

23 points to halftime, the man is a monster!
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jvalles69
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« Reply #4261 on: January 25, 2019, 12:24:13 AM »

Idk who Shawn Long is in the NBL (Breakers C) but I love him. Backed overs on him and he's come through for me 5 times in a row!

You're pretty lucky then, because prior to those 5 games he hadn't figured out how not to foul in the NBL.

Cashed out my big Harden bet, $1500 was too good to refuse with half a season to go.  Left the smaller bet which will pay $650 if he wins MVP.

Hahaha he does love opening up with 2 PFs in the first quarter but his PPM is massive!

Yeah smart move man, injuries can hit whenever and flower me Houston looked shower today haha

Look out for Long this week, NZ prob can't make finals now so not sure how the team will run the rotations.

23 points to halftime, the man is a monster!

Yep, did you get on again?
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jvalles69
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« Reply #4262 on: January 25, 2019, 01:35:18 PM »

Who listens to triple J and can give some tips on hottest 100. Seems like some good value for top 10. Is All The Pretty Girls a chance for top 10? Paying $8.
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LaHug
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« Reply #4263 on: January 25, 2019, 02:07:09 PM »

Who listens to triple J and can give some tips on hottest 100. Seems like some good value for top 10. Is All The Pretty Girls a chance for top 10? Paying $8.

This tool has been alright the last few years. Seems like it's got less data this year though... https://100warmtunas.com/2018/

I think All The Pretty Girls was released way too late to make to top 10 without being am absolute banger. I'm a huge Vera Blue fan and I didn't even vote for it. Only chance it has is that she has a cult following but I'd be very surprised if it makes top 10.
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jvalles69
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« Reply #4264 on: January 26, 2019, 02:31:03 AM »

Who listens to triple J and can give some tips on hottest 100. Seems like some good value for top 10. Is All The Pretty Girls a chance for top 10? Paying $8.

This tool has been alright the last few years. Seems like it's got less data this year though... https://100warmtunas.com/2018/

I think All The Pretty Girls was released way too late to make to top 10 without being am absolute banger. I'm a huge Vera Blue fan and I didn't even vote for it. Only chance it has is that she has a cult following but I'd be very surprised if it makes top 10.

Yeah cool, looks like the odds are following those trends so pointless betting really.
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R.Griffen
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« Reply #4265 on: January 26, 2019, 07:58:53 PM »

I got Confidence - Ocean Alley at $8s but hardly anything on it, next day into $1.5. Slightly worried Losing it gets up though, $14s to $5s in the last 12 hours is crazy. Dinosaurs or I Said Hi could do a Hoops and win at a decent price. The bigger the hottest 100 gets the more likely “mainstream” songs go top 10. So might have a bit on something from Drake/Post Malone
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elephants
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« Reply #4266 on: February 11, 2019, 09:49:57 PM »

Was flicking through futures on AFL in sportsbet this arvo and liked the look of these

Sam Walsh rising star @ $6 (was $7 last week, will only drop from here imo)

Buddy Coleman Medal @ $5 - Sydney have not fixed their fwd line issues and as a result everything will go through Buddy. New rules could help him one out (probably his weakest fwd asset) and a lot of his rivals have had poor preseasons (JJK, Daniher, Ben Brown, TJ Lynch, Hogan).

GWS top 8, WCE top 8, Richmond top 4, Melbourne top 8 @ 3.50 - seems safe as houses to me, tempting to throw in one of Adelaide, Geelong, Sydney to make top 8 to fatten up the odds but the fact I can't seem to decide which one I like the most of the 3 should tell you the story there haha.

The Brownlow seems so open to me. If Cripps and Fyfe stay fit they can win, if Danger plays 80% midfield he can win. I dont think Dusty should be the favourite, so I might lay against him on betfair but the odds would be negligible. Macrae @ 34 and Coniglio @ 51 could be worth tenners as could Parker (101) and Gray (34)

Is anyone foolish enough to bet on AFLX? haha
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kilbluff1985
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« Reply #4267 on: February 11, 2019, 10:39:08 PM »

Hind worth a tenner surely
« Last Edit: February 11, 2019, 10:40:49 PM by kilbluff1985 » Logged
RaisyDaisy
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« Reply #4268 on: February 11, 2019, 11:13:35 PM »

Hind worth a tenner surely

For what?

He's way too old for Rising Star lol
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AaronKirk
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« Reply #4269 on: February 11, 2019, 11:22:31 PM »

Hind worth a tenner surely

For what?

He's way too old for Rising Star lol

He's 24 so yeah, way too old. He is in the betting markets with Sportsbet though so the traders must not really know what they are doing.

Aren't the 2nd year players who are likely to get decent exposure to senior games the ones you want to back pre-season such as LDU from North Melbourne or Fogarty from Adelaide?
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kilbluff1985
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« Reply #4270 on: February 11, 2019, 11:53:28 PM »

yeah i didn't know the age rules but looked and seen he was on the list before posting
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elephants
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« Reply #4271 on: February 12, 2019, 01:34:21 AM »

Hind worth a tenner surely

For what?

He's way too old for Rising Star lol

He's 24 so yeah, way too old. He is in the betting markets with Sportsbet though so the traders must not really know what they are doing.

Aren't the 2nd year players who are likely to get decent exposure to senior games the ones you want to back pre-season such as LDU from North Melbourne or Fogarty from Adelaide?

Yeah possibly, the Walsh hype is phenomenal though and hes at the best team for exposure. LDU and Bonar have fights to win a place in their respective sides but fair shout
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LaHug
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« Reply #4272 on: February 12, 2019, 07:33:46 AM »

The bet I like the most of yours ele is the teams one. I'd chuck Adelaide in there if you wanted to fatten the odds because they fell to 13th more due to injuries than anything else which just gives them an easier draw to bounce right back this year.
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elephants
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« Reply #4273 on: February 13, 2019, 10:11:48 AM »

The bet I like the most of yours ele is the teams one. I'd chuck Adelaide in there if you wanted to fatten the odds because they fell to 13th more due to injuries than anything else which just gives them an easier draw to bounce right back this year.

Yeah fair shout mate. They should win the bulk of their home games, Pike is a good coach so he should steer them back into the top 8.

Another Brownlow smokey is Angus Brayshaw. Viney and Oliver coming into the season underdone with off season surgery and Brayshaw came 3rd off essentially 15 games! (Was in vfl the first 3 then played a less lucrative role the first 3 games he played). Paying $26, worth a pineapple :P umpires remember the helmet!
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kilbluff1985
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« Reply #4274 on: February 13, 2019, 01:49:02 PM »

Miles for brownlow
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