They're going to want to hope Tom Boyd works out and ends up being worth it.
Everyone will leave before his contract finishes.
You ignorant creature. If we kept Griffen and didn't get Boyd, everything would be sweet but now that we've done that trade there isn't going to be enough money to go around?
Salary cap without either: 10M = $250,000 per player
Salary cap with Griffen: 9.2M = $235,900 per player
Salary cap with Boyd: 9M = $230,800 per player
That's a difference of $5,100 from having Boyd instead of Griffen. Max exodus on the way, right?
Lists can be split up into different categories so easily. Something tells me that Jong, Redpath, Honeychurch and Roberts would be happy with being VFL players who get paid 90K a year + match payments if they crack the senior team. Half of our list is this quality and pay rate.
18 reserves: $1.62 million
1 Boyd: $1 Million
21 Seniors: 7.38M/ $351K each
The bottom third of the best 22 aren't on 350K a season. The top third of the best 22 would all be over 500K. Pick our 8 best players (the ones we're going to lose apparently). Murphy would be one (gone soon). Cooney was one (gone). Guys like Crameri are on the 350K middle tier. Griff>Boyd makes absolutely no difference to him, or anyone else really.
Libba is on 500K, that's with Griffen in the salary cap. Take Griff out and replace him with Boyd and Libba's percentage of the salary cap is now 490K. How many players are going to leave a young team stacked with talent over a 5k-10k loss? I'm guessing none.
Plus the salary cap will be closer to 12M than 10M by the 7th year of Boyd's contract and 1M will be the going rate for a gun KPF, and the rise will more than make up for that 5K loss.
Rough breakdown of payments:
1 @ 1M per year (Boyd)
7 @ 500K (
Cooney, Murphy (soon)
, Libba, Dahlhaus, Bont, Stringer, Macrae, ??)
7 @ 350K (locks in best 22, but not in top 8 -
, Crameri, M. Boyd, Picken etc)
7 @ 200K (Fringe best 22 - Stevens, Hunter, Campbell etc)
18 @ 90K (Darley, Jong, Roberts etc)
I doubt we're going to have 8 players worthy of more than 500K. If we have 6 of them (inc Boyd) and 9 in the 200K range, that's $620K each for the 5 in the tier below T. Boyd.
Bontempelli has signed a 2 year contract extention and I'm betting it's not in the 500K tier yet. That's 2 years (300K) that can go to Libba, putting him in the 650K range (or as high as 770K without Bont in the 2nd tier), possibly on a front loaded 4 year contract that will claim just 350K in years 3 and 4.
There's slight variations on contracts, like Picken might be on 320 and Stevens on 230 but that's basically it.